Marcuse wrote:
Is there any chance that someone could fairly beat Donald Trump to the White House next year and put an end to the ridiculous circus that is his Presidency? From what I can see there isn't, but am I wrong about that?
Krashlia wrote:Whats wrong with Buttigieg's record?
Also, is Gabbard showing any signs of running?
Finally, I've read it somewhere that the Left's cultural initiatives are unpopular in comparison to their more economic goals. So, if theres any pivot that probably would save Sander's bacon, it would probably be a pivot with that in mind (although, it would be pathetic if he just started to pander).
cmsellers wrote:I absolutely do not think Joe Biden is the most electable candidate.
cmsellers wrote:So basically, a candidate is only electable if they're a straight white male with a white-sounding name?
Abrams and Beto both overperformed the baseline and other Democratic candidates in red states. Abrams also had an opponent who blatantly cheated. I base my assessments of the relative appeal of Klobuchar, Beto, Abrams, Booker, Sanders, Gillibrand, and Warren mainly on how they performed in 2018 relative to their state's partisan lean, taking into account the fact that Beto and Abrams were challengers and therefore at a slight disadvantage.
Bullock I'm basing on his 2016 performance. Inslee, I'm looking at his performance in 2016, which was good, but also skeptical that his global warming focus will play well in the Sunbelt or the Rust Belt. For people who have never held statewide office or last ran 2014 or earlier, and for Kamala Harris, who faced a jungle primary, you are correct that I'm relying entirely on other factors, but I've already articulated my reasons for them.
Donald Trump's success hasn't really been replicable in the United States. Even other Republicans running as Trumpian candidates have a worse track record than generic Republicans, and there's no fucking way a Democrat could pull off Trump's whole persona, though Michael Avenatti sure gave it his best shot. Plus, Biden is the consummate insider, and apologizes for his gaffes, negating two of the things a lot of Trump's supporters liked about him: he's an "outsider" who "never bows to political correctness."
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